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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Ventura Regional
Red188
3925130.5
2486168.0
6560128.1
Blue357
3863147.0
3328153.3
1138140.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333340200250300350400188357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#5
168.00.4
167.1→167.5
Auto27.1
Teleop119.6
End22.3
red by 14.7
3328
#6
153.30.8
149.8→150.6
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
Second
3925
#17
130.50.8
128.5→129.3
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.7
blue by 16.4
3863
#12
147.00.3
145.9→146.2
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
Third
6560
#30
128.10.1
127.9→128.0
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
blue by 12.2
1138
#25
140.30.1
140.7→140.6
Auto17.4
Teleop101.8
End20.7