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Semifinal 1-22018 Ventura Regional
Red439
968163.1
5199162.8
580134.3
Blue274
3863147.0
3328153.3
1138140.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384301100200500600700439274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#4
163.10.8
160.1→160.9
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
red by 9.8
3328
#6
153.30.5
152.7→153.3
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
Second
5199
#1
162.80.7
160.1→160.8
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
red by 15.9
3863
#12
147.00.1
146.9→147.0
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
Third
580
#34
134.30.1
133.7→133.8
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
blue by 6.0
1138
#25
140.30.1
140.4→140.3
Auto17.4
Teleop101.8
End20.7