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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Ventura Regional
Red392
5818179.6
3512180.3
5515127.4
Blue309
4913116.5
4711138.0
6417129.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4231930100300500600700392309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#2
180.30.5
177.6→178.1
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
red by 42.3
4711
#10
138.00.4
137.6→138.0
Auto18.4
Teleop104.3
End19.6
Second
5818
#7
179.60.5
176.8→177.3
Auto22.2
Teleop138.0
End22.9
red by 50.1
6417
#15
129.60.1
129.6→129.6
Auto16.6
Teleop101.3
End11.2
Third
5515
#22
127.40.3
125.8→126.1
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
red by 10.8
4913
#33
116.50.3
116.8→116.5
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8