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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Ventura Regional
Red382
1266131.6
1572165.0
4078128.9
Blue175
6706131.6
6934127.8
7327124.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360285100200400500600382175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#3
165.00.7
162.0→162.7
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
red by 33.4
6706
#18
131.60.2
132.1→131.9
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
Second
1266
#8
131.60.4
129.9→130.2
Auto18.6
Teleop104.0
End12.0
red by 3.8
6934
#9
127.80.3
127.3→127.6
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End7.2
Third
4078
#23
128.90.3
128.6→128.9
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
red by 4.2
7327
#19
124.80.2
124.5→124.7
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.3