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Qual 12018 Ventura Regional
Red233
6706131.6
691130.7
4078128.9
Blue261
968163.1
732496.1
1266131.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268275150200250300350233261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#18
131.60.4
133.5→133.9
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
blue by 31.5
968
#4
163.10.9
138.6→139.4
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
Second
691
#13
130.70.7
121.1→120.4
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
blue by 0.9
1266
#8
131.61.4
119.4→117.9
Auto18.6
Teleop104.0
End12.0
Third
4078
#23
128.918.0
56.5→74.6
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
red by 32.9
7324
#40
96.118.3
96.1→77.7
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed