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Red262
6967102.0
3925130.5
580134.3
Blue318
3851115.2
567898.4
3512180.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493360200400600800262318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#34
134.31.2
128.1129.3
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
blue by 46.1
180.31.5
163.7165.3
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
Second
3925
#17
130.50.3
118.1118.4
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.7
red by 15.3
3851
#28
115.217.1
64.581.6
Auto16.1
Teleop85.8
End11.7
Third
6967
#35
102.01.1
105.7106.9
Auto13.9
Teleop78.4
End9.2
red by 3.6
5678
#29
98.416.5
69.886.3
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed