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Qual 32018 Ventura Regional
Red283
114117.4
6430107.5
1572165.0
Blue185
6934127.8
5515127.4
7323118.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502250100300400500600700283185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#3
165.03.1
153.9→157.0
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
red by 37.1
6934
#9
127.850.1
127.8→77.7
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End7.2
Second
114
#16
117.414.6
87.3→101.9
Auto14.7
Teleop98.5
End5.6
blue by 10.0
5515
#22
127.40.9
122.6→121.7
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
Third
6430
#32
107.516.9
66.1→83.0
Auto14.4
Teleop86.2
End10.1
blue by 10.8
7323
#41
118.340.5
118.3→77.7
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed