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Red271
399395.5
5818179.6
3120118.2
Blue206
5136119.2
4913116.5
5669124.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30723804006008001,000271206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.61.0
153.8154.8
Auto22.2
Teleop138.0
End22.9
red by 55.1
5669
#11
124.51.4
114.7113.3
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
Second
3120
#21
118.218.3
54.672.9
Auto16.6
Teleop88.9
End13.8
blue by 1.0
5136
#24
119.215.9
75.491.3
Auto15.5
Teleop83.2
End25.8
Third
3993
#42
95.518.1
56.474.5
Auto9.4
Teleop75.0
End11.4
blue by 21.0
4913
#33
116.50.8
119.7120.5
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed