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Qual 132018 Ventura Regional
Red140
6417129.6
4578111.1
732496.1
Blue322
3120118.2
580134.3
3863147.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297266100150200350400450500140322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#15
129.611.3
104.5→115.8
Auto16.6
Teleop101.3
End11.2
blue by 17.4
3863
#12
147.00.4
130.2→129.8
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
Second
4578
#20
111.113.4
85.6→99.0
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End18.5
blue by 23.2
580
#34
134.30.4
129.3→128.9
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
Third
7324
#40
96.112.3
77.7→90.0
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
blue by 22.1
3120
#21
118.211.8
72.9→84.7
Auto16.6
Teleop88.9
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed