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Red373
4078128.9
5669124.5
1138140.3
Blue156
6668119.7
4913116.5
655394.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513100100200400500600373156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#25
140.31.1
115.6116.7
Auto17.4
Teleop101.8
End20.7
red by 20.6
6668
#14
119.72.5
114.3116.8
Auto17.4
Teleop90.9
End17.9
Second
4078
#23
128.912.3
74.686.9
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
red by 12.4
4913
#33
116.50.9
120.5121.3
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
Third
5669
#11
124.50.6
113.3112.7
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
red by 29.7
6553
#38
94.89.2
86.695.8
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed