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Qual 162018 Ventura Regional
Red360
6706131.6
7327124.8
6934127.8
Blue300
6560128.1
691130.7
3851115.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284261100200400500360300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#18
131.60.9
134.3→133.4
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
red by 0.8
691
#13
130.70.9
120.1→121.0
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
Second
6934
#9
127.810.7
88.6→99.3
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End7.2
blue by 0.2
6560
#30
128.11.8
131.4→129.6
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
Third
7327
#19
124.810.7
91.1→101.8
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.3
red by 9.5
3851
#28
115.29.5
93.1→102.6
Auto16.1
Teleop85.8
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed