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Qual 172018 Ventura Regional
Red186
6967102.0
6764104.4
7323118.3
Blue398
5669124.5
6398121.7
589117.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322810100200400500186398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7323
#41
118.39.1
88.6→97.7
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
blue by 6.3
5669
#11
124.51.2
112.7→113.9
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
Second
6764
#37
104.43.7
83.5→87.3
Auto13.1
Teleop81.7
End11.4
blue by 17.3
6398
#27
121.75.5
90.7→96.2
Auto13.1
Teleop91.4
End18.0
Third
6967
#35
102.00.5
106.7→107.2
Auto13.9
Teleop78.4
End9.2
blue by 15.0
589
#26
117.01.3
109.0→110.3
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed