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Qual 192018 Ventura Regional
Red353
114117.4
6668119.7
3863147.0
Blue219
1572165.0
5515127.4
3120118.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292290220260280300320340353219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#12
147.01.0
129.8→130.8
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
blue by 18.0
1572
#3
165.01.7
157.6→155.9
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
Second
6668
#14
119.70.7
116.8→117.5
Auto17.4
Teleop90.9
End17.9
blue by 7.7
5515
#22
127.40.2
120.5→120.7
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
Third
114
#16
117.47.3
109.5→116.8
Auto14.7
Teleop98.5
End5.6
blue by 0.8
3120
#21
118.210.4
84.7→95.1
Auto16.6
Teleop88.9
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed