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Red145
567898.4
4501102.6
655394.8
Blue410
4578111.1
5136119.2
5199162.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193230100400500600145410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
#39
102.60.8
109.2108.4
Auto16.6
Teleop75.8
End10.1
blue by 60.2
162.83.4
121.7125.1
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
Second
5678
#29
98.44.7
97.4102.1
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
blue by 20.7
5136
#24
119.24.8
102.4107.2
Auto15.5
Teleop83.2
End25.8
Third
6553
#38
94.84.1
95.899.9
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
blue by 16.3
4578
#20
111.15.6
99.0104.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed