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Qual 212018 Ventura Regional
Red160
4913116.5
6417129.6
968163.1
Blue393
3512180.3
580134.3
1266131.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793430100200400500600160393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#4
163.11.4
140.4→141.8
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
blue by 17.2
3512
#2
180.31.9
166.4→168.3
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
Second
6417
#15
129.64.2
115.8→119.9
Auto16.6
Teleop101.3
End11.2
blue by 4.7
580
#34
134.31.0
128.9→129.9
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
Third
4913
#33
116.50.4
121.3→120.9
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
blue by 15.1
1266
#8
131.60.3
117.4→117.7
Auto18.6
Teleop104.0
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed