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Qual 222018 Ventura Regional
Red172
399395.5
732496.1
2486168.0
Blue282
5669124.5
6430107.5
3328153.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319248100200400500600172282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#5
168.02.0
159.5→161.5
Auto27.1
Teleop119.6
End22.3
red by 14.7
3328
#6
153.33.8
125.1→128.9
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
Second
7324
#40
96.16.6
94.9→101.6
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
blue by 28.5
5669
#11
124.52.0
113.9→115.9
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
Third
3993
#42
95.55.7
95.1→100.8
Auto9.4
Teleop75.0
End11.4
blue by 12.0
6430
#32
107.51.2
95.0→96.1
Auto14.4
Teleop86.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed