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Qual 232018 Ventura Regional
Red285
567898.4
7326119.8
7327124.8
Blue200
4578111.1
7323118.3
4078128.9
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932640100200400500600285200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7327
#19
124.89.2
101.8→111.0
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.3
blue by 4.2
4078
#23
128.97.5
98.6→106.1
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
Second
7326
#31
119.87.1
103.6→110.6
Auto12.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
red by 1.5
7323
#41
118.36.0
97.7→103.6
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
Third
5678
#29
98.42.3
102.1→104.4
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
blue by 12.7
4578
#20
111.15.6
104.7→110.3
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed