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Qual 242018 Ventura Regional
Red413
5199162.8
6967102.0
968163.1
Blue244
5818179.6
6934127.8
6668119.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603190100200400500600700413244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#4
163.10.4
141.8→142.2
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
blue by 16.5
5818
#7
179.61.6
156.8→158.5
Auto22.2
Teleop138.0
End22.9
Second
5199
#1
162.83.2
125.1→128.4
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
red by 35.0
6934
#9
127.89.2
99.3→108.4
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End7.2
Third
6967
#35
102.00.4
107.2→107.6
Auto13.9
Teleop78.4
End9.2
blue by 17.7
6668
#14
119.70.9
117.5→118.4
Auto17.4
Teleop90.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed