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Qual 252018 Ventura Regional
Red306
4501102.6
1572165.0
691130.7
Blue277
3925130.5
4913116.5
5102109.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362330100200300400500306277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#3
165.01.4
155.9→154.5
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
red by 34.4
3925
#17
130.50.2
117.5→117.3
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.7
Second
691
#13
130.71.1
121.0→122.1
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
red by 14.2
4913
#33
116.51.1
120.9→119.8
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
Third
4501
#39
102.60.9
108.4→107.4
Auto16.6
Teleop75.8
End10.1
blue by 6.4
5102
#36
109.12.4
97.0→99.4
Auto13.2
Teleop85.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed