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Qual 262018 Ventura Regional
Red307
6764104.4
3512180.3
4711138.0
Blue268
6560128.1
3120118.2
5136119.2
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335262100200300400500307268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#2
180.31.9
168.3→170.1
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
red by 52.3
6560
#30
128.10.7
129.6→128.9
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
Second
4711
#10
138.03.2
124.1→127.3
Auto18.4
Teleop104.3
End19.6
red by 18.9
5136
#24
119.25.0
107.2→112.2
Auto15.5
Teleop83.2
End25.8
Third
6764
#37
104.42.5
87.3→89.8
Auto13.1
Teleop81.7
End11.4
blue by 13.8
3120
#21
118.26.5
95.1→101.6
Auto16.6
Teleop88.9
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed