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Red145
589117.0
1266131.6
6706131.6
Blue429
5515127.4
1138140.3
3863147.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072790100200400500145429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.60.8
117.7118.5
Auto18.6
Teleop104.0
End12.0
blue by 15.4
3863
#12
147.01.2
130.8131.9
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
Second
6706
#18
131.60.0
133.4133.4
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
blue by 8.7
1138
#25
140.33.0
119.1122.2
Auto17.4
Teleop101.8
End20.7
Third
589
#26
117.02.1
110.3112.4
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
blue by 10.4
5515
#22
127.40.0
120.7120.7
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed