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Qual 282018 Ventura Regional
Red281
3851115.2
580134.3
6398121.7
Blue164
114117.4
655394.8
6417129.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296272100150200250350400450281164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#34
134.31.2
129.9→131.0
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
red by 4.7
6417
#15
129.60.7
119.9→120.7
Auto16.6
Teleop101.3
End11.2
Second
6398
#27
121.76.6
96.2→102.8
Auto13.1
Teleop91.4
End18.0
red by 4.3
114
#16
117.46.1
116.8→122.8
Auto14.7
Teleop98.5
End5.6
Third
3851
#28
115.27.7
102.6→110.4
Auto16.1
Teleop85.8
End11.7
red by 20.4
6553
#38
94.81.9
99.9→101.8
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed