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Qual 322018 Ventura Regional
Red80
732496.1
3851115.2
3120118.2
Blue420
5199162.8
6560128.1
6430107.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239307010020040050060070080420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3120
#21
118.23.8
101.6→105.4
Auto16.6
Teleop88.9
End13.8
blue by 44.7
5199
#1
162.83.2
128.4→131.6
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
Second
3851
#28
115.25.2
110.4→115.6
Auto16.1
Teleop85.8
End11.7
blue by 12.8
6560
#30
128.10.7
128.9→128.1
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
Third
7324
#40
96.11.6
101.6→103.2
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
blue by 11.4
6430
#32
107.51.5
96.1→97.7
Auto14.4
Teleop86.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed