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Red359
5136119.2
1138140.3
6706131.6
Blue316
6417129.6
7323118.3
7326119.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307265100200400500359316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#25
140.33.3
122.2125.5
Auto17.4
Teleop101.8
End20.7
red by 10.7
6417
#15
129.60.1
120.7120.7
Auto16.6
Teleop101.3
End11.2
Second
6706
#18
131.60.7
133.4132.7
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
red by 11.8
7326
#31
119.84.3
110.6115.0
Auto12.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
Third
5136
#24
119.22.9
112.2115.1
Auto15.5
Teleop83.2
End25.8
red by 0.9
7323
#41
118.33.7
103.6107.3
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed