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Qual 342018 Ventura Regional
Red386
7327124.8
5515127.4
5818179.6
Blue206
4078128.9
4501102.6
3512180.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327274100200300400500600386206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5818
#7
179.60.8
158.5→159.3
Auto22.2
Teleop138.0
End22.9
blue by 0.7
3512
#2
180.31.3
170.1→171.4
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
Second
5515
#22
127.40.9
120.7→121.6
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
blue by 1.5
4078
#23
128.94.7
106.1→110.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
Third
7327
#19
124.85.7
111.0→116.7
Auto15.6
Teleop96.5
End12.3
red by 22.1
4501
#39
102.60.8
107.4→106.6
Auto16.6
Teleop75.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed