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Qual 412018 Ventura Regional
Red248
7323118.3
5669124.5
580134.3
Blue383
5515127.4
3328153.3
5102109.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298288200250350400248383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#34
134.30.8
132.0→132.8
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
blue by 19.0
3328
#6
153.32.7
131.9→134.6
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
Second
5669
#11
124.51.3
117.8→119.1
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
blue by 2.9
5515
#22
127.41.8
121.6→123.4
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
Third
7323
#41
118.32.0
107.3→109.3
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
red by 9.2
5102
#36
109.10.7
102.8→103.5
Auto13.2
Teleop85.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed