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Red430
2486168.0
4078128.9
1572165.0
Blue15
655394.8
6967102.0
6560128.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380216010030050060070043015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.00.5
162.0162.5
Auto27.1
Teleop119.6
End22.3
red by 39.9
6560
#30
128.10.9
128.1129.0
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
Second
165.01.0
153.5152.5
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
red by 63.0
6967
#35
102.00.7
108.7109.4
Auto13.9
Teleop78.4
End9.2
Third
4078
#23
128.92.8
110.8113.6
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
red by 34.1
6553
#38
94.80.9
102.6103.4
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed