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Qual 452018 Ventura Regional
Red139
5515127.4
399395.5
4578111.1
Blue417
4711138.0
6417129.6
6560128.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553240100200400500139417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#22
127.41.7
123.4→125.1
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
blue by 10.6
4711
#10
138.00.1
130.7→130.8
Auto18.4
Teleop104.3
End19.6
Second
4578
#20
111.10.0
114.3→114.3
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End18.5
blue by 18.5
6417
#15
129.62.2
120.2→122.4
Auto16.6
Teleop101.3
End11.2
Third
3993
#42
95.52.6
103.1→105.7
Auto9.4
Teleop75.0
End11.4
blue by 32.5
6560
#30
128.10.9
129.0→128.1
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed