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Red285
6398121.7
3328153.3
6764104.4
Blue334
567898.4
1572165.0
968163.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503310100200300400500285334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.32.5
134.6137.1
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
blue by 11.7
165.00.3
152.5152.8
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
Second
6398
#27
121.74.4
110.2114.5
Auto13.1
Teleop91.4
End18.0
blue by 41.4
968
#4
163.11.8
144.4146.2
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
Third
6764
#37
104.41.0
89.490.4
Auto13.1
Teleop81.7
End11.4
red by 6.0
5678
#29
98.43.4
104.4101.0
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed