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Qual 472018 Ventura Regional
Red192
655394.8
732496.1
3512180.3
Blue384
7323118.3
2486168.0
589117.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279314100200400500192384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#2
180.31.5
172.2→173.8
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
red by 12.4
2486
#5
168.01.5
162.5→164.0
Auto27.1
Teleop119.6
End22.3
Second
7324
#40
96.10.7
101.9→102.6
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
blue by 22.2
7323
#41
118.31.1
109.3→110.5
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
Third
6553
#38
94.83.5
103.4→100.0
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
blue by 22.2
589
#26
117.00.4
113.7→113.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed