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Red361
3328153.3
3120118.2
1138140.3
Blue109
5669124.5
6706131.6
4501102.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332261100200300400500600361109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.32.6
137.1139.7
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
red by 21.7
6706
#18
131.60.7
133.8134.4
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
Second
1138
#25
140.32.6
132.2134.8
Auto17.4
Teleop101.8
End20.7
red by 15.8
5669
#11
124.51.3
119.9121.2
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
Third
3120
#21
118.23.1
108.2111.3
Auto16.6
Teleop88.9
End13.8
red by 15.5
4501
#39
102.60.8
105.8105.0
Auto16.6
Teleop75.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed