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Qual 552018 Ventura Regional
Red235
5515127.4
655394.8
7326119.8
Blue249
5102109.1
567898.4
6934127.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802540100200400500600700235249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#22
127.40.2
125.1→125.2
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
blue by 0.4
6934
#9
127.81.4
120.5→121.8
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End7.2
Second
7326
#31
119.82.0
117.0→119.0
Auto12.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
red by 10.7
5102
#36
109.10.5
104.7→105.3
Auto13.2
Teleop85.4
End8.8
Third
6553
#38
94.83.9
100.0→96.1
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
blue by 3.6
5678
#29
98.40.7
101.0→100.3
Auto13.2
Teleop78.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed