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Red208
4913116.5
6967102.0
5515127.4
Blue400
655394.8
5199162.8
691130.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246320100200400500600208400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#22
127.40.0
125.2125.2
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
blue by 35.5
162.83.8
143.7147.6
Auto22.6
Teleop114.7
End27.6
Second
4913
#33
116.50.4
119.9120.3
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
blue by 14.2
691
#13
130.71.1
123.6124.7
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
Third
6967
#35
102.01.1
107.7106.6
Auto13.9
Teleop78.4
End9.2
red by 7.2
6553
#38
94.82.8
96.193.2
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed