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Red493
3925130.5
4078128.9
6560128.1
Blue402
3863147.0
7323118.3
6398121.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307315200250350400450493402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#17
130.52.0
119.8121.9
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.7
blue by 16.4
3863
#12
147.01.8
138.9140.7
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
Second
4078
#23
128.92.5
120.3122.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.1
End29.0
red by 7.2
6398
#27
121.70.2
118.8118.9
Auto13.1
Teleop91.4
End18.0
Third
6560
#30
128.10.5
128.1127.6
Auto17.9
Teleop100.6
End11.5
red by 9.8
7323
#41
118.30.7
113.3114.0
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed