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Red185
5669124.5
399395.5
3851115.2
Blue375
3512180.3
1572165.0
7326119.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1814100100300500600185375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5669
#11
124.50.0
121.2121.2
Auto15.1
Teleop90.1
End19.6
blue by 55.8
180.30.9
174.3175.2
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
Second
3851
#28
115.20.2
118.0117.8
Auto16.1
Teleop85.8
End11.7
blue by 49.7
165.01.9
153.6155.5
Auto21.6
Teleop126.5
End21.1
Third
3993
#42
95.53.4
104.3100.9
Auto9.4
Teleop75.0
End11.4
blue by 24.3
7326
#31
119.80.8
119.0119.7
Auto12.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed