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Red361
7326119.8
3328153.3
4711138.0
Blue141
6764104.4
3863147.0
655394.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284271150200250300350400361141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.32.9
114.2117.1
Auto18.6
Teleop117.3
End20.4
red by 6.3
3863
#12
147.01.1
129.1130.2
Auto15.5
Teleop115.7
End15.9
Second
4711
#10
138.00.0
120.4120.4
Auto18.4
Teleop104.3
End19.6
red by 33.6
6764
#37
104.418.2
54.973.2
Auto13.1
Teleop81.7
End11.4
Third
7326
#31
119.842.0
119.877.7
Auto12.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
red by 25.0
6553
#38
94.816.5
70.186.6
Auto15.2
Teleop71.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed