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Red72
6430107.5
6706131.6
5102109.1
Blue401
3512180.3
589117.0
114117.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248320010020040050072401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#18
131.60.4
133.9134.3
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
blue by 48.8
180.31.1
165.3166.4
Auto18.1
Teleop133.1
End33.4
Second
5102
#36
109.110.7
82.493.1
Auto13.2
Teleop85.4
End8.8
blue by 8.3
114
#16
117.47.6
101.9109.5
Auto14.7
Teleop98.5
End5.6
Third
6430
#32
107.59.2
83.092.2
Auto14.4
Teleop86.2
End10.1
blue by 9.5
589
#26
117.00.4
108.6109.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed