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Qual 92018 Ventura Regional
Red404
3851115.2
7323118.3
968163.1
Blue231
1266131.6
4501102.6
399395.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102210100400500600700404231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#4
163.10.9
139.4→140.4
Auto24.6
Teleop125.1
End14.8
red by 31.5
1266
#8
131.60.6
117.9→117.4
Auto18.6
Teleop104.0
End12.0
Second
7323
#41
118.310.8
77.7→88.6
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
red by 15.6
4501
#39
102.61.5
110.7→109.2
Auto16.6
Teleop75.8
End10.1
Third
3851
#28
115.211.5
81.6→93.1
Auto16.1
Teleop85.8
End11.7
red by 19.7
3993
#42
95.511.7
74.5→86.1
Auto9.4
Teleop75.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed