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Red271
691130.7
732496.1
580134.3
Blue386
6398121.7
7326119.8
2486168.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227352100200300400500600271386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#34
134.30.5
133.9133.4
Auto16.3
Teleop95.2
End23.2
blue by 33.7
168.00.6
167.3166.8
Auto27.1
Teleop119.6
End22.3
Second
691
#13
130.71.3
126.3127.6
Auto15.6
Teleop93.6
End24.3
red by 9.0
6398
#27
121.70.6
119.6120.3
Auto13.1
Teleop91.4
End18.0
Third
7324
#40
96.10.9
96.795.8
Auto15.0
Teleop77.4
End5.3
blue by 23.7
7326
#31
119.81.1
120.6119.5
Auto12.3
Teleop94.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed