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Red112
7323118.3
399395.5
4913116.5
Blue444
6668119.7
6706131.6
5515127.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263350100200300400500112444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7323
#41
118.32.1
115.1117.2
Auto13.5
Teleop94.2
End11.8
blue by 13.3
6706
#18
131.61.3
133.3132.0
Auto16.5
Teleop100.6
End16.1
Second
4913
#33
116.51.4
119.9118.5
Auto19.3
Teleop89.0
End8.8
blue by 10.8
5515
#22
127.40.0
124.5124.5
Auto16.4
Teleop99.8
End15.3
Third
3993
#42
95.51.9
99.197.1
Auto9.4
Teleop75.0
End11.4
blue by 24.2
6668
#14
119.70.3
116.8117.1
Auto17.4
Teleop90.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned