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Red264
4159143.7
842202.4
3250188.2
Blue375
1538186.1
649161.3
1678252.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2904210100200500600700800264375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#24
202.41.3
206.6205.3
Auto23.2
Teleop163.3
End13.6
blue by 49.8
252.20.3
250.9250.6
Auto25.9
Teleop180.5
End41.5
Second
3250
#27
188.20.9
195.2194.3
Auto24.2
Teleop140.4
End21.0
red by 2.1
1538
#38
186.11.6
196.9195.3
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
Third
4159
#40
143.70.7
148.2147.4
Auto18.5
Teleop112.3
End13.3
blue by 17.6
649
#34
161.30.3
166.0166.3
Auto20.6
Teleop133.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed92%Face the Boss oddsMissed