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Red112
5026154.0
2910214.9
4183155.3
Blue459
254237.3
4911192.4
2557180.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31840702006008001,000112459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
214.90.1
221.8221.9
Auto20.1
Teleop168.7
End24.7
blue by 22.4
254
#3
237.31.5
250.5249.1
Auto25.5
Teleop171.3
End35.6
Second
4183
#39
155.30.4
163.2163.6
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
blue by 37.1
192.40.6
188.2187.6
Auto20.0
Teleop142.4
End30.1
Third
5026
#42
154.00.8
164.5163.7
Auto20.8
Teleop119.6
End10.1
blue by 26.9
2557
#20
180.90.6
182.6182.0
Auto20.3
Teleop136.4
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsMissed98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed99%Face the Boss oddsEarned