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Red249
3538205.6
4388156.9
1072147.2
Blue305
696159.2
2471192.3
3647159.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3503450200400600800249305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#28
205.60.9
206.9207.8
Auto20.4
Teleop163.6
End20.9
red by 13.2
192.31.1
201.1199.9
Auto21.7
Teleop146.0
End19.7
Second
4388
#25
156.90.2
163.4163.2
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End11.4
blue by 2.9
3647
#35
159.80.2
164.6164.4
Auto15.2
Teleop115.3
End32.2
Third
1072
#15
147.20.8
149.4148.7
Auto19.7
Teleop114.9
End15.3
blue by 12.0
696
#29
159.21.4
153.6155.0
Auto22.2
Teleop124.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsMissed