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Red422
3512196.8
968170.6
1678252.2
Blue260
3478194.5
846175.9
115151.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4253000100200500600422260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
252.20.5
250.6250.1
Auto25.9
Teleop180.5
End41.5
red by 57.7
3478
#13
194.51.8
201.8200.0
Auto22.2
Teleop147.6
End26.2
Second
196.80.6
192.9193.4
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
red by 20.9
846
#16
175.90.5
173.4174.0
Auto23.7
Teleop137.3
End16.8
Third
968
#23
170.60.6
171.9171.3
Auto21.6
Teleop132.1
End16.4
red by 19.6
115
#41
151.01.1
159.9158.8
Auto17.7
Teleop117.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
97%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed