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Red251
254237.3
5924133.6
4159143.7
Blue252
5818175.9
1323214.2
4488191.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2964400100200400500600700251252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
237.30.7
249.1248.4
Auto25.5
Teleop171.3
End35.6
red by 23.1
214.21.0
229.5228.4
Auto24.2
Teleop163.9
End23.2
Second
4159
#40
143.70.8
147.4146.6
Auto18.5
Teleop112.3
End13.3
blue by 47.4
4488
#19
191.20.3
197.0196.7
Auto22.3
Teleop137.0
End30.4
Third
5924
#30
133.60.7
134.8135.5
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End15.6
blue by 42.3
5818
#33
175.90.4
188.5188.1
Auto22.4
Teleop135.6
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsMissed75%Face the Boss oddsMissed