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Qual 272018 Chezy Champs
Red401
696159.2
3309211.4
2990174.9
Blue294
5803182.2
1538186.1
4183155.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375330200250300350400450500550401294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#17
211.40.7
216.4→215.7
Auto21.4
Teleop158.5
End27.8
red by 25.4
1538
#38
186.11.5
195.3→193.8
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
Second
2990
#22
174.90.2
175.2→175.4
Auto26.5
Teleop136.1
End16.0
blue by 7.4
5803
#11
182.20.5
186.5→186.0
Auto21.9
Teleop127.5
End33.8
Third
696
#29
159.20.6
155.0→155.6
Auto22.2
Teleop124.3
End13.0
red by 3.9
4183
#39
155.31.4
163.6→162.2
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned16%Face the Boss oddsMissed