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Red319
2910214.9
1072147.2
2659163.7
Blue353
3310227.0
4388156.9
3647159.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346351250300400450500319353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
214.91.6
221.9220.4
Auto20.1
Teleop168.7
End24.7
blue by 12.1
227.00.1
227.2227.2
Auto22.1
Teleop174.6
End28.6
Second
2659
#36
163.70.2
170.1169.9
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
red by 3.9
3647
#35
159.80.7
164.4163.7
Auto15.2
Teleop115.3
End32.2
Third
1072
#15
147.21.3
148.7147.4
Auto19.7
Teleop114.9
End15.3
blue by 9.7
4388
#25
156.90.8
163.2162.4
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed75%Face the Boss oddsEarned