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Red389
3512196.8
1983182.3
696159.2
Blue197
4159143.7
2659163.7
4911192.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384328200300500600700389197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.80.4
192.5192.1
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
red by 4.5
192.40.2
189.7189.5
Auto20.0
Teleop142.4
End30.1
Second
1983
#14
182.30.4
179.2179.6
Auto21.3
Teleop140.1
End21.3
red by 18.6
2659
#36
163.70.3
171.6171.9
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
Third
696
#29
159.20.3
152.4152.8
Auto22.2
Teleop124.3
End13.0
red by 15.4
4159
#40
143.70.5
148.4148.9
Auto18.5
Teleop112.3
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed