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Red422
1323214.2
2046224.9
5803182.2
Blue251
3538205.6
4183155.3
846175.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4532800100200400500600700422251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224.90.9
218.2219.1
Auto21.8
Teleop183.1
End21.5
red by 19.4
3538
#28
205.60.7
206.0206.7
Auto20.4
Teleop163.6
End20.9
Second
214.20.1
230.9230.8
Auto24.2
Teleop163.9
End23.2
red by 38.3
846
#16
175.90.5
173.0173.5
Auto23.7
Teleop137.3
End16.8
Third
5803
#11
182.20.1
186.4186.5
Auto21.9
Teleop127.5
End33.8
red by 26.9
4183
#39
155.30.6
162.5163.1
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
81%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed