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Red274
4488191.2
2557180.9
3478194.5
Blue346
842202.4
5818175.9
971197.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3284040100200500600700800274346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#13
194.51.1
205.4204.4
Auto22.2
Teleop147.6
End26.2
blue by 7.9
842
#24
202.40.3
206.5206.8
Auto23.2
Teleop163.3
End13.6
Second
4488
#19
191.20.1
198.5198.4
Auto22.3
Teleop137.0
End30.4
blue by 6.4
971
#9
197.60.6
204.2203.6
Auto23.3
Teleop144.1
End29.6
Third
2557
#20
180.90.4
183.6183.2
Auto20.3
Teleop136.4
End22.3
red by 5.0
5818
#33
175.90.8
191.5190.7
Auto22.4
Teleop135.6
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
74%Face the Boss oddsEarned31%Face the Boss oddsMissed